Smart Money
Is there such a thing as "Smart Money"?
It is defined as money being put down on a horse because
some people "know" something no one else does.
Enough money is put down on a horse which is
driving the odds of the horse well below the
morning line odds.
Thoroughbred Research Center embarked on a
project
to identify situations where "smart money" may be in play.
We found that each race track, and even each race
type
within each track, may have a different set of criteria
for identifying these unique "smart money" situations.
Here are the results of our analysis:
Last updated: 06/11/2001 for races run through 06/08/2001
Belmont...what should I look for?
Race Type
#
# Races
# Wins
% Wins
% W/P
%W/P/S
Allowance 15 29 15 52% 72% 83%
Bay Meadows... what should I look for?
Race Type |
# |
# Races |
# Wins |
% Wins |
% W/P |
%W/P/S |
| Maiden Claiming | 01 | 20 | 10 | 50% | 75% | 95% |
Churchill ... what should I look for?
Race Type |
# |
# Races |
# Wins |
% Wins |
% W/P |
%W/P/S |
| Maiden Claiming | 15 | 10 | 5 | 50% | 70% | 90% |
Hawthorne.. what should I look for?
Race Type |
# |
# Races |
# Wins |
% Wins |
% W/P |
%W/P/S |
| MSW | 15 | 17 | 9 | 53% | 71% | 82% |
| Claiming > 15,000 | 01 | 10 | 5 | 50% | 70% | 90% |
Hollywood... what should I look for?
Race Type |
# |
# Races |
# Wins |
% Wins |
% W/P |
%W/P/S |
| Allowance | 15 | 16 | 9 | 56% | 75% | 81% |
| Maiden Claiming | 15 | 28 | 17 | 61% | 86% | 96% |
| Stakes | 15 | 10 | 7 | 70% | 100% | 100% |
Lone Star... what should I look for?
Race Type
#
# Races
# Wins
% Wins
% W/P
%W/P/S
Allowance 01 37 17 46% 70% 81% Claiming > 15,000 01 19 9 47% 63% 84%
Pimlico... what should I look for?
Race Type
#
# Races
# Wins
% Wins
% W/P
%W/P/S
Allowance 15 76 39 51% 74% 91% Maiden Claiming 15 55 31 56% 89% 100% MSW 15 35 20 57% 83% 97% Claiming > 15,000 15 55 31 56% 89% 100% Stakes 15 30 14 47% 73% 100%
Background compliments of The Mining Co